Masters: Wanna play Augusta National? Bay Hill presents a long and stern test from tee to green. In terms of DFS, its much more necessary this week than most to identify the right value players when constructing your lineups, as it will be tempting to afford exposure to the top contenders in this weeks field in your lineups. For a deeper dive into the course, read my WM Phoenix Open preview. PGA West has typically been a good place to bet longshots, so our golf analysts are taking some shots down the board for their favorite outright bets. With the Phoenix Open open complete, the stars of the PGA Tour head to Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, where Tiger Woods will make his long-awaited return. Although Willy Z has been pretty brutal on the greens in his career, his lag putting has been notably good, and a great fit for the giant greens, while his short game remains quite underrated. Andy Lack, RickRunGood.com and Inside Golf podcast: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) Zalatoris answered the lingering injury questions with a fourth-place finish at Riviera, where he gained 3.9 strokes off the tee, four strokes on approach, 2.4 strokes around the green and 2.4 strokes putting. All of that makes Scott a great long shot pick this week. Obviously, we still have the 90/1 Luke List winner to fall back on. Elite drivers can separate themselves from the field on Bay Hill, as players like Bryson DeChambeau, Jason Day and Rory McIlroy have proven in recent years. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Jon Rahm (+650, DraftKings) Can you stop taking the fun out of outright golf betting, Jon Rahm? Looking at past winners, the average winning odds of the last five winners is +15900, with Jim Herman being the longest in 2020 at +60000 and Henrik Stenson having the shortest odds in 2017 at +1400. Stats pulled across Last 36 Rounds unless otherwise noted. BetMGM Announces Responsible Gaming Advertising Strategy, Ohio Sports Betting Promos: Illinois Fighting Illini at OSU Buckeyes Odds. Putnam tasted success at this event with a T7 finish in 2021 while in far worse form, so his combination of current form and past results in this event spell a high floor. Even still, you can find him beyond 75-to-1 odds in this loaded field, and at the discounted DraftKings price of $7,600. Two prop bets Fax: (541) 454-2753. Then it just comes down to the putter. Pick to Win Arnold Palmer Invitational (0.5 Units): Rory McIlroy (+950). Standing just under 7,500 yards, Bay Hill presents similar challenges we come to expect in a major championship venue. Youll likely know pretty quickly with Kim, either hes making everything or nothing. The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outrights, including a MONSTER 250-1 payout on Hudson Swafford at The American Express. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images). Farmers: Jason Day. Sentry TOC: Patrick Cantlay. While he fell victim to a faulty putter in his last start, the 31-year-old has actually gained strokes putting in his past four appearances on Bermuda grass. Keegan Bradley a sleeper no more? With the $20 million purse on the line, the field is once again loaded with defending champion Scottie Scheffler now joined by Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and 10 of the Top 11 players in the OWGR and 44 of the Top 50 players in the world. He also suits the developing narrative set by Justin Rose last week, as a consistent veteran who is beginning to trend in 2023 (four consecutive top-25s) and in search of his first win since 2019. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. As a 7,216 yard par-71, TPC Scottsdale is about average in terms of total yardage, but plays shorter than the scorecard suggests in firm and dry conditions at elevation. He has eight top-25 finishes in his past nine starts with four top-10s. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images). Golf betting record in 2023 through Honda:12-27-1, -3.234 units (0-8 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets | +0.98 units at Honda)One-and-Done record in 2023: $1,523,924.22 (Shane Lowry at Honda, $288,120), Top 10 pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Viktor Hovland (+290). Contending into the weekend at The Farmers in his previous start, Steele is in great form heading into a course hes shown consistent success at over his career. List ranks top-20 in many of the key categories for the demanding test in store at Bay Hill, including Driving Distance, SG: OTT, Prox 200+ and Par-4: 450-500. This playercould pull off a STUNNING victory and cash in HUGE for anyone who backs him! And while hes only played in two PGA Tour events this season (29th at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and T21 at the Sony Open), Scott had a solid year last season, missing only two cuts in 20 tries and collecting five top-10s, four of which were top-5s. The course sets up for Rory as a drawer and bomber. That makes the John Deere one of the weakest field events of the year -- but that doesn't mean there isn't money to be made betting it. Lets get to our 2023 WM Phoenix Open longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups and betting cards. You can see the top 20 in Genesis Invitational betting odds as of Monday afternoon at the bottom of this post, or head over to BetMGM to see the full list of odds and bets for this week. Hes not backing down. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for RickRunGood.com, where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. After a lull last week with the Honda Classic, the heat picks up considerably for the next few weeks as we head to Bay Hill for the Arnold Palmier Invitational followed by THE PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass. Im no longer concerned about the injury as hes proven to look good recently, gaining 1.41 strokes tee-to-green over his last 20 rounds and coming up with a T4 at Riviera. Matchup Results from the Honda Classic: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+130) over Frittelli and O Hair, Round 1); Mayo: 1 for 1 (Meronk (+105) over C. Davis); Gehman: 1 for 1 (M.W. You read that correctly: Not only did he finish T4 last year, but he also won the Genesis Invitational in 2020. He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. Powers, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (-120) over Corey Conners (DraftKings) Keegans Bay Hill record is as good as anybodys in this field not named Rory McIlroy, and hes coming in in fine form. ESPN+. Honda: Chris Kirk. We warned you guys after Scottie Schefflers win in Phoenix once this panel gets hot, we tend to run hot! The Wake Forest connection with Arnold Palmer is obvious, but more so, hes very much like Rory in that hes a bomber who likes to move it from right to left. The Twitter handle is a joke. 2023 WM Phoenix Open: Rickie Fowler (Odds: +8000; Finish: T10)2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Beau Hossler (Odds +8000; Finish: T11)2023 Farmers Insurance Open: Rickie Fowler (Odds: +10000; Finish: T11)2023 Sony Open in Hawaii: Kurt Kitayama (Odds: +5000; Finish: T73)2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions: Ryan Brehm (Odds: +75000; Finish: T35). At Bay Hill, course history has proven more repeatable than just about any other course on the PGA TOUR schedule. Im sure hell make the cut, but I dont see him finishing top 10. Combine that with his form and I think hes in line for another great showing. Hahn enters this week in the midst of an 8-event stretch in which hes gained strokes on approach. RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. I was tempted to play Gary Woodland at +12500 in the PGA Championship And youll find few whove shown more consistency here than Bradley. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. ORLANDO, FLORIDA - MARCH 06: Viktor Hovland of Norway plays a shot on the sixth hole during the final round of the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Arnold Palmer Bay Hill Golf Course on March 06, 2022 in Orlando, Florida. Were getting value based on Rorys slow start on the West Coast, which was mainly short-game induced. Caddie: Cameron Young (40-1, DraftKings) Cam Young is going to get his first win soon, and why not here? Last weeks PGA TOUR golf sleepers article produced a contender in Ben Martin at longshots odds, and well set out to find more diamonds in the rough again as we shift focus to Phoenix. But, crucially, it can be argued they are worse than Scott deserves based on his past performance. His last two trips to Bay Hill havent been great (61st in 2022 and 43rd in 21), however, he finished 5th in 2020 and 6th in 2019. Here are your options. The 37-year-old earned his fifth PGA Tour win and first since 2015 at the 2023 Honda Classic on Sunday after beating rookie Eric Cole in a playoff at PGA National in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. But we have our eyes on another former Masters champ as our long-shot bet to win. Big South Tournament Odds: UNC Asheville, Longwood Knotted Atop Betting Market. But the hole I like best at Bay Hill is the par-4 eighth, a lovely dogleg-right with a diagonal green perched above a small circular pond. Jon Rahm (+750)Rory McIlroy (+1000)Scottie Scheffler (+1000)Justin Thomas (+1600)Xander Schauffele (+1600)Max Homa (+1800)Tony Finau (+1800)Collin Morikawa (+2200)Patrick Cantlay (+2500)Sungjae Im (+2500)Sam Burns (+2800)Viktor Hovland (+2800)Cameron Young (+3300)Hideki Matsuyama (+4000)Jason Day (+4000)Jordan Spieth (+4000)Matt Fitzpatrick (+4000)Tom Kim (+4000)Tyrrell Hatton (+4000)Will Zalatoris (+4000). After two Up to $1,250 on Caesars. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. A former two-time intern, he also helps keep GOLF.com humming outside the news-breaking stories and service content provided by our reporters and writers, and works with the tech team in the development of new products and innovative ways to deliver an engaging site to our audience. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our red-hot experts make a consensus bet, thanks to Christopher Powers 30-1 win on Chris Kirk last week, Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge: Challenger/Champion, create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National. American Express: Brian Harman. Ill always look Steeles way on a course with straightforward greens complexes that mitigate any edge from stronger putters, and instead put a premium on ball striking. His 27 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are second-most all-time. follow. The 9-hole China Creek Golf Course in Arlington, ESPN+. The winner hasnt been better than 12 under in any of the past four years, with two single-digit under par victors. Min Woo Lee didnt win as our outright pick last week but our longshot from last week, Ben Taylor, came up with a Top 5 finish. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. >. Start the Golf Season off right with InsideGOLF ($100 value - just $20). He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. Lets keep it rolling in Orlando. Gehman: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) There are more questions than answers in Thomas game right now as he continues to show inconsistencies with his best attributehis approach play. The PGA Tour board on Tuesday night ratified a radical new approach for the 2024 schedule, Golfweek has confirmed. The event tees off Thursday, and Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the latest 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Night ratified a radical new approach for the 2024 schedule, Golfweek has confirmed graduate! 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